Tuesday, October 13, 2009

But This Time Will Be Different, SPQR Edition


Despite several millenia's worth of accumulated evidence of failed government Utopian programs, everything from the Tower of Babel to the Great Society and beyond, my liberal friends seem wedded to the notion that this time will be different, and that "Universal Health Care" and all the other "progressive" causes de jure will prove to be completely benign, wonderfully efficient government programs with absolutely no unintended consequences. Lost are any notions of personal rights and responsibilities. Gone too, are quaint ideas like limited government. No, we must all shoulder our burdens and march off together into the Glorious Future, and like those on the Bataan Death March, dissent for us is not an option.

We can quote Nock:
If we look beneath the surface of our public affairs, we can discern one fundamental fact, namely: a great redistribution of power between society and the State. This is the fact that interests the student of civilization. He has only a secondary or derived interest in matters like price-fixing, wage-fixing, inflation, political banking, "agricultural adjustment," and similar items of State policy that fill the pages of newspapers and the mouths of publicists and politicians. All these can be run up under one head. They have an immediate and temporary importance, and for this reason they monopolize public attention, but they all come to the same thing; which is, an increase of State power and a corresponding decrease of social power.

It is unfortunately none too well understood that, just as the State has no money of its own, so it has no power of its own. All the power it has is what society gives it, plus what it confiscates from time to time on one pretext or another; there is no other source from which State power can be drawn. Therefore every assumption of State power, whether by gift or seizure, leaves society with so much less power; there is never, nor can there be, any strengthening of State power without a corresponding and roughly equivalent depletion of social power.


We can quote De Tocquville on the rise of tyranny in democracies:
After having thus successively taken each member of the community in its powerful grasp and fashioned him at will, the supreme power then extends its arm over the whole community. It covers the surface of society with a network of small complicated rules, minute and uniform, through which the most original minds and the most energetic characters cannot penetrate, to rise above the crowd. The will of man is not shattered, but softened, bent, and guided; men are seldom forced by it to act, but they are constantly restrained from acting. Such a power does not destroy, but it prevents existence; it does not tyrannize, but it compresses, enervates, extinguishes, and stupefies a people, till each nation is reduced to nothing better than a flock of timid and industrious animals, of which the government is the shepherd.


We can even hope the words of Thomas Paine might have an effect:
Society in every state is a blessing, but government, even in its best state is but a necessary evil; in its worst state, an intolerable one.
Unfortunately, all would be to no avail.

We could go on to economics and discuss Hayek, Friedman, and Von Mises. We could even talk about Keynes' own misgivings later in life. None make a difference. We can point to The Federalist Papers, but might as well be be pointing to rolling papers and have as much effect on rational thought. We can show failed program after failed program. No, for our liberal friends, Hope does spring eternal, and this time will be different.

For we who see a doubling of the money supply, and know that inflation looms; for we who see a feckless foreign policy, and know the we face another generation of worldwide anarchy; for we who see yet more taxes, fees, and regulation, and know that our economy languishes as a result; for we who see faith in the collective, but know that the individuals making it up are flawed; for us is reserved the special hell of knowing the future, but being unable to change it. Because we know that this time won't be any different, our hope, like that of the last Legionnaire on the Rhine, is to forestall the coming collapse.

Saturday, August 29, 2009

Uncle Ted: no, not THAT Ted



Am I weird for having the same opinion? When we delegate our protection to others, we give up our liberty. This young mother, whose father was a deputy sheriff, learned too late that she did so at her peril. Ted is correct, you have a right, in fact a responsibility, to protect yourself and those whom you hold most dear. I don't ever want to have to attend a trial and hope for justice if one of my loved ones is lost at the hands of another. Do you?

Tuesday, June 9, 2009

QOTD

From Glenn Reynolds:
Drunken sailors generally spend cash that they’ve already earned themselves, rather than running up debt to be paid by others. If our politicians started spending like drunken sailors, it would in fact represent a dramatic improvement.

Having had, shall we say, experience with drunken sailors, I'll vouch for the point's veracity.

Seems Hayek was Right



What a shock.

Monday, May 25, 2009

May 25th, 1961



The race to the moon defined my youth and set the direction of my adult life. America then seemed to be about what we could do. Today it seems to be so much more about what we can't do. I grieve for what has been lost, but even more for the society that refuses to see it.

Thursday, May 21, 2009

QOTD

From Jeremy Clarkson, one of the boys on Top Gear regarding the Honda Insight:
And the sound is worse. The Honda’s petrol engine is a much-shaved, built-for-economy, low-friction 1.3 that, at full chat, makes a noise worse than someone else’s crying baby on an airliner. It’s worse than the sound of your parachute failing to open. Really, to get an idea of how awful it is, you’d have to sit a dog on a ham slicer.

I haven't driven one yet, but from what I've seen so far, I haven't been impressed. I was impressed by the drivability of the Prius. I still wouldn't want one for myself, but at least it is a decent car, and not merely a fashion statement.

Wednesday, May 20, 2009

QOTD

Again from the inestimable Mark Steyn:
Not to be too gloomy, but the country feels like it's seizing up. It's as if California and New York have burst their bodices like two corpulent gin-soaked trollops and rolled over the fruited plain to rub bellies at the Mississippi. If you're underneath, it's not going to be fun.

Read the whole thing.

Tuesday, May 19, 2009

Monday, May 18, 2009

May 18

There's much that I could talk about today as we rush headlong into the abyss. Instead, let me note the irony that Abraham Lincoln was nominated for President the same date that the Supreme Court issued Plessy v. Ferguson thirty-six years later.

Tuesday, May 12, 2009

Payback Time

So, people are starting to notice that GM's new business plan includes moving a significant number of jobs offshore to China and are wondering why. It seems rather obvious to me. China, is receiving a quid pro quo for continuing to finance our government's debt. No other explanation makes sense.

Wednesday, May 6, 2009

Thanks for the Memories


68 years ago today, Bob Hope performed his first show for troops in Riverside, California. I often listen to his old radio show on XM, and his humor stands the test of time. A true patriot, even during the Vietnam years, he cared when few others did.

Tuesday, May 5, 2009

Two Guys I'd Like to Know

I think I'd get along well with both these guys. Our country, and theirs, is full of such men. It's been my privilege to know a number of them, and I would dearly like to add these two to the list.

Saturday, May 2, 2009

Unsufferably Haughty

For one person alone to have the Government of a people in his hands, would be too great a Temptation. It tends to excite and draw forth the Pride of a man, to make him unsufferably haughty; it gives him too much liberty to exert his corruptions and it encourages him to become a Tyrant and an oppressor, to dispense with Laws and break the most solemn oaths. -- John Barnard, 1746

Sound like anything out of the news these days? H/T Instapundit
“When did it become the government’s job to intervene in the bankruptcy process to move junior creditors who belong to favored political constituencies to the front of the line? Leave aside the moral point that these people lent money under a given set of rules, and now the government wants to intervene in our extremely well-functioning (and generous) bankruptcy regime solely in order to save a favored Democratic interest group. No, leave that aside for the nonce, and let’s pretend that the most important thing in the world, far more interesting than stupid concepts like the rule of law, is saving unions. What do you think this is going to do to the supply of credit for industries with powerful unions?” -- Megan McArdle

Is there any doubt in anyone's mind that our President is completely and utterly craven?

I am rapidly coming to the conclusion that in the best case scenario, we are in for a 30's type depression. You really don't want to know what I think is likely.

Never Again



I have had a life-long lust for a Corvette, and as I am in my peak earning years, was actually thinking I might just be able to sate the desire. No more. I will never buy either GM or Chrysler products again. Both firms should have been allowed to die a graceful death in bankruptcy court. Instead, they decided to suckle at the government teat and make the rest of us responsible for their irresponsibility. Now, instead of gladly supporting GM and its workers by buying one of their products I've long desired, I'm being forced to underwrite their mismanagement with my tax dollars.

I'll be driving my 13 year old Toyota pick-up a bit longer, and when the time comes, my next purchase will be a Ford. In fact, both the Fusion and Escape hybrids look pretty good to me and would meet my needs well. My son has driven the Escape hybrid at work, and says that it gets better mileage than his Focus. Not bad at all for something that can be taken into the boonies once in a while.

Friday, May 1, 2009

Is it Just Me...

or is the Obama administration shaping up to make the Grant administration look ethical, and the Carter administration competent?

Wednesday, April 29, 2009

1975


I've become quite fond of Bill Bennett's The American Patriot's Almanac. Today's entry contains the following quote from Cambodian Prince Sirik Matak in response to a letter offering him American sanctuary:
I thank you very sincerely for your letter and your offer to transport me towards freedom. I cannot, alas, leave in such a cowardly fashion. As for you, and in particular for your great country, I never believed for a moment that you would have this sentiment of abandoning a people which has chosen liberty. You have refused us your protection, and we can do nothing about it. You leave, and my wish is that you and your country will find happiness under this sky. But, mark it well, that if I shall die here on the spot and in my country that I love, it is no matter, because we are all born and must die. I have only committed this mistake of believing in you.
As we appear to be on track to abandoning Israel, Taiwan, Iraq, Afghanistan and Pakistan, it's worth considering the aftermath of our evacuation of Saigon thirty-four years ago today. In that war, we defeated the enemy on the ground and then abandoned our allies in the region. It took a generation for the US military to recover and for the world to trust our word again. One wonders what it will take the next time we make the same mistake.

Monday, April 27, 2009

Shut Up!

If only this didn't ring true:

Saturday, April 25, 2009

Reconciled

I suppose that's what I'll have to be since the Democrats have decided to take over the health care system through the budget reconciliation process. This latest power grab by Washington will receive a whopping 35 hours of debate. The next time you hear the term "the world's greatest deliberative body" from your Senator, you have my permission to vomit, preferably on your Senator.

Let's be perfectly clear here, "universal health care" isn't about health care, and it surely won't be universal. You doubt me? We now have a health care system said to under-serve roughly 40 million people. The actual number is debatable, but let's take it as a given. Plans for universal health care will inevitably result in a reduction of supply, and fewer people actually served.

Consider a little basic economics: prices rise when there is an under-supply of a particular good or service. Price serves as the rationing mechanism to ensure that the supply is distributed as efficiently as possible among the consumers of the product. At the same time, of course, the prevailing price acts as an incentive to producers, higher prices encourage more production, lower prices are a disincentive. Still with me?

Now, what happens when the .gov gets involved? As we see with current federal medical programs, reimbursements are capped at a fraction of the cost of production. This has the expected result, and fewer patients are able to obtain the service for the capped price. As is also predictable, this results in a sizable market for "supplemental" insurance to fill the gap, a market soon to be legislated out of existence. The result, again, will be a shortage of supply, but with capped prices, there will be no market incentive to producers and the supply will not rise to meet demand and fewer patients will be served.

What about the other mechanism for "cost control" being discussed, restricting the availability of "high cost" or "experimental" procedures? This has the perverse effect of restricting demand by killing off the patients, and while an effective mechanism for cost control from the government's standpoint, is certainly not in the best interests of the sick. Again though, the result is fewer patients being served.

Conspicuously absent from any current discussion of "universal health care" is increasing the supply, which actually would reduce patient costs. Why? Health care providers like the high prices they can now command, and lobby effectively to restrict supply. In short, they don't want, and work to prevent, competition.

One other point to consider; upper middle class small businesspeople, like doctors and dentists, tend to fall into the economic brackets the government wants to tax more. Again, reducing the incentive to produce.

So, if the goal of universal health care is to actually provide health care to the 40 million not being served now, why would any sane people (and politicians are sane people, mostly) support a program that will inevitably result in increasing the under-served population? That answer's actually pretty easy: votes. By creating a universal entitlement to health care, a vast new constituency, dependent on the government for a basic need is created. A significant side benefit will be the creation of a huge new bureaucracy staffed with people who will reliably vote to preserve their jobs.

Bottom line: the only people who win with "universal health care" are politicians and bureaucrats, and THAT is why it will happen.

Thursday, April 23, 2009

Today in History

On this date in 1908, Teddy Roosevelt signed an act creating the Medical Reserve Corps, the first federal military reserve component. Since I'm a retired reservist, I thought you might like to know.

Tuesday, April 21, 2009

One More Reminder

that every Obama statement has an expiration date. Calling this guy mendacious is an insult to liars everywhere.

Friday, April 17, 2009

Ch-ch-ch-changes

Where to begin? The One continued his worldwide apology tour with stops in Mexico City and Trinidad this week. While he's been out of town, his crew managed to insinuate that pretty much all conservatives and libertarians are potential "right-wing terrorists" and proved his education bona fides by teaching real terrorists worldwide how to resist our interrogation techniques. Not to worry though, I'm sure those of us still breathing after the attacks will feel better because we'll be saving the planet by being taxed for the privilege. Mustn't pollute the environment with that deadly CO2 we all exhale.

Not to be outdone by the underlings, he promised the President of Mexico that we'd register all to pesky guns up el Norte way and make sure to license all the bitter clingers. Speaking of folks clinging to their God, we can eliminate the Jesuits from the list since they were only too happy to cover up references to their namesake for the One. Moving on to the Caribean, our master signed up for Dictatorial Socialism 101 with Hugo Chavez and visiting professors Raul and Fidel Castro.

I feel so much better with all this change going around. Don't you?

Thursday, April 16, 2009

What's it all About?


Glenn says it well.

Adding a bit more to yesterday's item on the local Tea Party, the local county chairman of the Republican Party showed up to defend our own congressman, Doc Hastings, and I have to say, he was the perfect caricature of a Republican pol. Overweight, untucked shirt, and a lousy suit, telling people that work for a living why they should support the one guy who might have done something as the chairman of the House Ethics Committee to prevent the Republican melt-down in '06.

Doc could have spoken out and named names like Duke Cunningham, demonstrating that Republicans won't stand for corruption. Instead, not a word on national tv when Charlie Rangel can get in front of a microphone or camera on a daily basis.

I've got to tell you, I agree with Doc on a lot of issues, but when it mattered, he let us down and if I thought I had a snowball's chance in hell, I'd give him a primary challenge myself.

Ya Sure, You Betcha


So here I sit, awaiting transportation to the reeducation camp.

Wednesday, April 15, 2009

Richland WA Tea Party

At one point, the organizers estimated the crowd at 600, but I think it peaked closer to a thousand. Three hours of good people airing their grievances against the government. Yours truly spoke extemporanesously on the DHS's Right Wing Extremist report. Mrs. Attila expressed pride in her husband, but neglected to capture the moment for posterity with her camera.

Monday, April 13, 2009

Untrained Teens

That's what our Secretary of Defense calls the pirates who attempted to take the Maersk Alabama. He went on to say:
"As long as you've got this incredible number of poor people and the risks are relatively small, there's really no way in my view to control it unless you get something on land that begins to change the equation for these kids."
Mr. Secretary, let me remind you, because you seem to have forgotten, IT'S YOUR JOB to ensure the risks are NOT relatively small.

You might also want to spend just a wee bit of time learning the history of the Navy you purport to lead. Here's a hint from the Naval Act of 1794:
Whereas the depredations committed by the Algerine corsairs on the commerce of the United States render it necessary that a naval force should be provided for its protection:
Finally, since the Commander in Chief seems a little confused about the powers routinely granted naval officers without need of further authorization, here's article 0920 of the Naval Regulations:
0920. Protection of Commerce of tbe United States.
Acting in conformity with international law and treaty obligations, the senior officer present shall protect, insofar as lies within his or her pawer, all commercial craft of the United States in their lawful occupations.
These were not "kids" and the only therapy needed is swift retribution. If your administration can't handle it, get the boss to ask Congress for a letter of Marque and Reprisal to Blackwater/Xe and let them deal with it on contract.

Saturday, April 11, 2009

QOTD

President Barack Obama has recently completed the most successful foreign policy tour since Napoleon's retreat from Moscow. - Gerald Warner in the Telegraph

Read the whole thing.

Friday, April 10, 2009

A Hard Right

That's what I'd like to give Chucky. Silly me for believing in Hamilton, Madison, and Jay rather than Nancy, Harry, and BO. Why the hell would I want to compromise with that crowd?


Change is coming, Senator, and you aren't going to like it.

Tuesday, April 7, 2009

Tragedy

The Seattle Times is running a letter to the editor claiming the need for a ban on handguns and assault weapons in light of the 53 people who've died the past month in mass shootings. While each death is tragic, a sense of perspective is necessary to assess the real need and ensure that we are addressing our most serious problems. According to the Insurance Institute for Highway Safety, 41059 people died in automobile crashes in 2007. That unfortunate number works out to over 3400 per month. Breaking that down further, 4654 pedestrians died in automobile crashes that year, averaging 387 per month. Some of these automobile deaths are even the deliberate product of sick minds. Despite our best efforts at regulating this scourge (We test and license each and every authorized automobile user, require accident insurance, federally tax automobile, gas, and tire purchases, and mandate automobile safety features.) these deaths continue. Clearly the AAA is on the side of death, and we need to ban these instruments of destruction now before we address a comparatively minor issue like guns and the NRA.

Sunday, April 5, 2009

QOTD

Breda's balls are bigger than the CinCs. Here's the money quote:

Not in my name. I am an American. I bow to no one.


Amen, sister. Amen.

Friday, April 3, 2009

A Little Matter of a Revolution



Just a quick note: our apologist-in-chief is bowing to the man responsible for the following (via NR (subscription required))
Our great friends the Saudis have a way of setting the highest standards of cruelty. In the city of Jeddah, an unmarried woman of 23 was abducted and gang-raped. Finding that she was then pregnant, she desperately tried to have an abortion. Brought to court, she explained what had happened, whereupon the judge ruled that she had committed adultery. Result: a sentence of one year in prison, and a hundred lashes once she has had the child.

A more astute student of history than that exposing his ignorance with his ass above would remember the words of Thomas Paine, "All hereditary government is in its nature tyranny." We fought for such ideals once.

Wednesday, April 1, 2009

You Still Can't Make This Stuff Up

So, the Obama administration has given the Queen an iPod. Yet another thoughtful, generous gift to a Head of State. One has to wonder whether they included a charger suitable for the UK. Given their track record, I have my doubts.

Monday, March 30, 2009

Embrace the Future

Since the government has such a wonderful track record of running businesses as varied as the US Postal Service, Amtrak, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, I've decided to embrace the future and accept the takeover of GM and Chrysler. I'm really looking forward to the new model lineup, sure to include such best sellers as the Dodge Dodd, the Chevy Byrd made in the new West Virgina plant, and of course the amphibious Jeep Kennedy.

Thursday, March 26, 2009

Mendacious Obfuscation?

Words matter. I've worked in large bureaucratic organizations all of my adult life, where clear, concise writing is rare. What you usually find is leaden prose designed to obscure the fact the writer is an idiot. (Yes, I know I am. Deal with it.) The other purpose, obscuring the truth.

The current administration wishes to change the vocabulary in a way that would make Orwell proud. Elected as an anti-war candidate, we're not sending seventeen thousand troops into Afghanistan in the Global War on Terror. No, you see, it's not a war at all, merely an Overseas Contingency Plan. Quoting Hayek:
Everything which might cause doubt about the wisdom of the government or create discontent will be kept from the people. The basis of unfavorable comparisons with conditions elsewhere, the knowledge of possible alternatives to the course actually taken, information which might suggest failure on the part of the government to live up to its promises or to take advantage of opportunities to improve conditions -- all will be suppressed...The word "truth" itself ceases to have its old meaning. It describes no longer something to be found, with the individual conscience as the sole arbiter of whether in any particular instance the evidence (or the standing of those proclaiming it) warrants a belief; it becomes something to be laid down by authority, something which has to be believed in the interest of the unity of the organized effort and which may have to be altered as the exigencies of this organized effort require it.

Isn't change wonderful?

Wednesday, March 25, 2009

Compare and Contrast


I wonder if we could borrow this guy for four years. This may have been in the European Parliament, but good God, you really have to admire Brit politicians for their ability to absolutely skewer their opponents.

Now, having seen that, compare it with the excerpt from a House Financial Services Committee hearing below.

The Peter Principle



It is hard for me to believe that this creature is actually representative of her district. There can be no doubt that she has risen to her level of incompetence.

Change



H/T Riehl World View

Tuesday, March 24, 2009

Wednesday, March 18, 2009

A Gentle Reminder

The creation of crimes after the commission of the fact, or, in other words, the subjecting of men to punishment for things which, when they were done, were breaches of no law, and the practice of arbitrary imprisonments, have been, in all the ages, the favorite and most formidable instruments of tyranny -- Alexander Hamilton, Federalist No. 84

Now a little from Glenn Beck:



Lest you think that AIG is the only bailed out firm with executives receiving bonuses, here's a little tidbit from the Washington Post. Gee, why no faux outrage? Could it be that these guys work for a government sponsored entity? I guess their contracts are inviolate.

One final quote:
The moment the idea is admitted into society that property is not as sacred as the laws of God, and that there is not a force of law and public justice to protect it, anarchy and tyranny commence. -- John Adams


UPDATE: I ran across this after publishing the post.

Tuesday, March 17, 2009

Adrift on a Turbulent Sea

If you think you've got it bad, read about this poor guy and his lost treasure.

Monday, March 16, 2009

Outrage upon Outrage

What's amazing is that this piece isn't the most outrageous thing I've read today. This one is. Our representative republic is dead, and our new masters have no honor. If Eric Shinseki had any integrity left, he'd resign.

Wednesday, March 11, 2009

Two Completely Random Quotes

Finance, the proper use and easy flow of capital, and the development of the banking structure of a nation must not be underestimated when one has to face the clear responsibility of building a state or of leading a people out of chaos. -- Benito Mussolini
Never let a good crisis go to waste. -- Rahm Emanuel

Tuesday, March 10, 2009

Steyn Today

"Barack ain't run nuthin' but his mouth." Just read it all.

Another One Bites the Dust

Chas Freeman, Saudi shill, and Chicom apologist has withdrawn his name from consideration for National Intelligence Council chair. There are also reports that in addition to the Gordon Brown snub fiasco, the Brits are having trouble getting in touch with Treasury.

The lights are on, but nobody's home.

Saturday, March 7, 2009

Nothing Special

It is truly comforting to know that the current administration has such a nuanced attitude toward foreign relations. After eight years of "cowboy diplomacy" characterized by improved relations with our most important allies things could only get better, right?
The real views of many in Obama administration were laid bare by a State Department official involved in planning the Brown visit, who reacted with fury when questioned by The Sunday Telegraph about why the event was so low-key.

The official dismissed any notion of the special relationship, saying: "There's nothing special about Britain. You're just the same as the other 190 countries in the world. You shouldn't expect special treatment." The apparent lack of attention to detail by the Obama administration is indicative of what many believe to be Mr Obama's determination to do too much too quickly.
Nothing special. Just two world wars as allies, treaty commitments to mutual defense, seats on the UN Security Council, G7 membership, and that whole "mother country" thing. And GWB was stupid. Right.

Thursday, March 5, 2009

Irony Defined

I can't resist pointing out that Tim Geithner testified before Charlie Rangel's committee on increasing compliance with the tax code. You just can't make this stuff up.

Class

Read this piece for a minor anecdote from the tragedy we find ourselves players in. Here's a teaser:
These gifts are even more impressive and thoughtful than these few paragraphs suggest, given the amazing story behind the Resolute and how it is a potent symbol of U.S.-U.K. goodwill. So Brown clearly outclassed Obama in that regard.
It's increasingly clear it isn't hard to outclass the One.

Health Care

I was going to blog something about health care tonight, but this Corner post by Stephen Spruiell says everything I was going to. Here's the money quote:
The last thing we need is public policy based around the idea that health care is a "right" to which we are all entitled. We've seen the results when other countries have adopted such policies: shortages, rationed care, higher taxes and a less innovative health-care sector — in short, a state of affairs that infringes on everyone's right to pursue the best care he or she can obtain.
The penultimate paragraph is great too, so read the whole thing.

Tuesday, March 3, 2009

Long Term Strategy

From Bloomberg, 2009:
Obama compared the daily market fluctuations to a tracking poll in politics and said he wouldn’t be adjusting his policies just to meet daily market expectations.

“If you spend all your time worrying about that, then you’re probably going to get the long-term strategy wrong,” he said.

From Marx and Engels, 1848:
The proletariat will use its political supremacy to wrest, by degrees, all capital from the bourgeoisie, to centralize all instruments of production in the hands of the State, i.e., of the proletariat organized as the ruling class; and to increase the total productive forces as rapidly as possible.

Of course, in the beginning this cannot be effected except by means of despotic inroads on the rights of property and on the conditions of bourgeois production; be means of measures, therefore, which appear economically insufficient and untenable but which, in the course of the movement, outstrip themselves, necessitate further inroads upon the old social order, and are unavoidalbe as a means of entirely revolutionizing the mode of production.

We wouldn't want to take our eyes off the prize, would we Barack?

Sunday, March 1, 2009

A Response to a new AWB

No one has said it better than Hamilton in Federalist No. 20:
Where in the name of common sense are our fears to end if we may not trust our sons, our brothers, our neighbors, our fellow-citizens? What shadow of danger can there be from men who are daily mingling with the rest of their countrymen and who participate with them in the same feelings, sentiments, habits, and interests?

We should not fear arms in the hands of our fellow citizens. Indeed, experience across the world has taught us that when good people are unarmed, criminals flourish. Laws are no deterrent to the lawless. Do we all wish a peaceful society? Of course we do. Ensuring that end requires a citizenry able to defend itself.

I have given careful thought to the security of my family. As a result, I am seldom unarmed when I am in public, and never unarmed at home. I don't do this out of paranoia, but based on the knowledge that in the unlikely event that I am ever in a deadly force situation, the consequences of being unarmed are too high.

As part of my decision making process, I thought very carefully about what self-defense strategy would work the best under my circumstances. As a result, I've chosen a semi-automatic .223 caliber carbine based on the AR platform as my primary means of home defense. This rifle would be banned as an "assault weapon" were a new AWB imposed.

"Assault weapons" are often characterized in the press as "high-powered assault weapons", but anyone familiar with the history of such weapons knows that they actually represent a significant reduction in power over the previous generation of military arms. The AK platforms exhibit a similar reduction over their antecedents. What does this mean in practical terms for a home-defense weapon? For me, the major reason to choose the .223 platform is a reduced tendency to penetrate residential wall construction. The small projectile, moving very fast, has a tendency to shatter when penetrating wallboard, and in fact, is less likely to do so intact than the projectile from a 9mm handgun. At the same time, the AR is a lightweight, easily controllable system with minimal recoil, making it well suited to use by people of smaller stature than, for instance, a 12 ga. shotgun would be. Put simply, I can be assured that my wife can handle the weapon if she needs to and don't have to worry much about a projectile leaving the envelope of my house with enough energy to do harm. In a residential neighborhood, you can't ask for much more.

I could go on to discuss the differences between the cosmetic features an "assault weapons" ban would address and actual military assault weapons, but since actual military assault weapons have been illegal without a federal license since the National Firearms Act of 1934, I won't. Furthermore, ownership and transfer of them is restricted to those manufactured and licensed prior to 1986. So, if true assault weapons are already banned, why enact new law? Why, indeed.

Friday, February 27, 2009

Some Thoughts on the Markets

In thinking about how to best navigate my investment portfolio away from the rocks and shoals it's currently aground on, I've been looking at the Dow's performance since the crash of '29. One thing that strikes me when looking at a logarithmic graph of the DJIA over time is that from the end of WWII until 1965 or so, market growth was fairly steady. Then, from '65 until about '85 it was flat, returning to its previous growth rate from '85 until the bubble burst last fall. Okay, I know this is a VERY simplistic look at things, but it sure seems to me that the market was flat from the Great Society era until the Reagan Revolution. Since we seem to be hell-bent on returning to those halcyon days of the war on poverty, I think that we're in for a flat market (being ever the optimist) at roughly the 7000-8000 level until we have a tax revolution and kick the current bums out of office. Something tells me I'll be moving my investments off-shore for a few years.

Thursday, February 26, 2009

State of the Union, Part 2

Returning to the discussion of health care costs.

This is a cost that now causes a bankruptcy in America every thirty seconds. By the end of the year, it could cause 1.5 million Americans to lose their homes. In the last eight years, premiums have grown four times faster than wages. And in each of these years, one million more Americans have lost their health insurance. It is one of the major reasons why small businesses close their doors and corporations ship jobs overseas. And it’s one of the largest and fastest-growing parts of our budget. Gee, do you think that all might have anything to do with having to absorb the cost of emergency care for the twenty-plus million people living in the country illegally? Or maybe the decreasing caps on Medicare/Medicaid reimbursements that force the rest of us to pay higher rates for the same procedures? It certainly couldn't have anything to do with having to absorb the costs your trial-lawyer friends have added to the burden of doing business as a doctor in this country. Oh, it's also a bogus number according to the Corner.

Already, we have done more to advance the cause of health care reform in the last thirty days than we have in the last decade. When it was days old, this Congress passed a law to provide and protect health insurance for eleven million American children whose parents work full-time. Our recovery plan will invest in electronic health records and new technology that will reduce errors, bring down costs, ensure privacy, and save lives. It will launch a new effort to conquer a disease that has touched the life of nearly every American by seeking a cure for cancer in our time. And it makes the largest investment ever in preventive care, because that is one of the best ways to keep our people healthy and our costs under control.

Where to start? SCHIP coverage for children up to age thirty? No, that's low hanging fruit. How about electronic health records and new technologies? We are to be assured that electronic health records will bring down costs. Take a look at the cost of the ongoing efforts to upgrade the nation's air traffic control system. Chronically overdue and over budget. Health care's got vastly different data needs, and we're to think that a) the government can properly identify those needs, b) get all the players to agree on a standard, and c) actually implement the plan in a way that works better than paper. I don't think so. As to ensuring privacy, ask Joe the Plumber how well those government data secrecy laws worked for him. Do you honestly think that if you raise your courage and challenge the .gov that your college STD, your bout of depression after your parents died, or your treatment for hemorrhoids won't come back to haunt you in the most embarrassing way possible? You can also forget about that “saving lives” bit. The whole point of the exercise is to allow the new bureaucracy, staffed by the same folks who make going to the DMV such a pleasant experience, to exercise control over your health care by “suggesting” that your doctor choose cheaper alternatives or forgo a less “effective” but potentially life-saving treatment. They fully intend to ration your access to care. They also fully intend to pay less for the services they do authorize. That will also inevitably lead to fewer services being available. We already see many practices that won't accept new Medicare/Medicaid patients. The trend will accelerate. One other point, preventive care postpones health care costs, but doesn't eliminate them. You just need them at a later age.

This budget builds on these reforms. It includes an historic commitment to comprehensive health care reform – a down-payment on the principle that we must have quality, affordable health care for every American. It’s a commitment that’s paid for in part by efficiencies in our system that are long overdue. And it’s a step we must take if we hope to bring down our deficit in the years to come.

The plan they propose will, in the end, reduce access to care and increase costs. Ask the Brits how well the NHS works for them. Ask the next Canadian you see how easy it is to get an MRI.

The third challenge we must address is the urgent need to expand the promise of education in America. You mean beyond providing a free primary and secondary education in state mandated curricula by highly trained professional educators to any and all comers? That promise needs expanding?

In a global economy where the most valuable skill you can sell is your knowledge, a good education is no longer just a pathway to opportunity – it is a pre-requisite. No argument with this at all.

Right now, three-quarters of the fastest-growing occupations require more than a high school diploma. Note that this is not synonymous with saying that three-quarters of all jobs require post-secondary education. And yet, just over half of our citizens have that level of education. We have one of the highest high school dropout rates of any industrialized nation. And this is the fault of the system? No, it's a fault of the students who choose not to learn. And half of the students who begin college never finish. In large part because they realize that they were not suited to it. My freshman Aerospace Engineering intro class had 120 students. I graduated with about a tenth that number. If you ask me what class I wish I had taken in High School that I didn't, the answer would be auto shop. Not everyone needs a college degree. I know for a fact that our local IBEW hall is recruiting retirees to come back to work because they don't have enough younger members in the trade.

This is a prescription for economic decline, because we know the countries that out-teach us today will out-compete us tomorrow. That is why it will be the goal of this administration to ensure that every child has access to a complete and competitive education – from the day they are born to the day they begin a career. They already do if they decide to avail themselves of it. Do you really think our urban schools would be cesspools if the kids in them really wanted to learn?

Already, we have made an historic investment in education through the economic recovery plan. We have dramatically expanded early childhood education and will continue to improve its quality, because we know that the most formative learning comes in those first years of life. We have made college affordable for nearly seven million more students. And we have provided the resources necessary to prevent painful cuts and teacher layoffs that would set back our children’s progress. And this is the job of the federal government according to which part of the Constitution?

But we know that our schools don’t just need more resources. They need more reform. That is why this budget creates new incentives for teacher performance; pathways for advancement, and rewards for success. I'm positive the NEA/AFT folks will get solidly behind this plan. They've just always been so supportive of efforts like this in the past. We’ll invest in innovative programs that are already helping schools meet high standards and close achievement gaps. Like No Child Left Behind? I thought that was an evil Bush program. And we will expand our commitment to charter schools. Notice the lack of any mention of vouchers for private schools?

It is our responsibility as lawmakers and educators to make this system work. But it is the responsibility of every citizen to participate in it. And so tonight, I ask every American to commit to at least one year or more of higher education or career training. This can be community college or a four-year school; vocational training or an apprenticeship. But whatever the training may be, every American will need to get more than a high school diploma. And dropping out of high school is no longer an option. It’s not just quitting on yourself, it’s quitting on your country – and this country needs and values the talents of every American. That is why we will provide the support necessary for you to complete college and meet a new goal: by 2020, America will once again have the highest proportion of college graduates in the world. Try finding a good plumber in 2020.

These education policies will open the doors of opportunity for our children. But it is up to us to ensure they walk through them. In the end, there is no program or policy that can substitute for a mother or father who will attend those parent/teacher conferences, or help with homework after dinner, or turn off the TV, put away the video games, and read to their child. I speak to you not just as a President, but as a father when I say that responsibility for our children's education must begin at home. So, if there's no substitute for mothers and fathers, explain to me again why we need these massive new programs. I must have missed something.

There is, of course, another responsibility we have to our children. And that is the responsibility to ensure that we do not pass on to them a debt they cannot pay. With the deficit we inherited, the cost of the crisis we face, and the long-term challenges we must meet, it has never been more important to ensure that as our economy recovers, we do what it takes to bring this deficit down. And that's why I've doubled our deficit this year, am massively expanding the scope and reach of the federal government and borrowing as much money as I possibly can from the Chinese and Saudis.

I’m proud that we passed the recovery plan free of earmarks, and I want to pass a budget next year that ensures that each dollar we spend reflects only our most important national priorities. Okay. We just know that one of our most important national priorities is to build a mag-lev train between LA and Vegas. Nope, no earmarks, not a one.

Yesterday, I held a fiscal summit where I pledged to cut the deficit in half by the end of my first term in office. My administration has also begun to go line by line through the federal budget in order to eliminate wasteful and ineffective programs. As you can imagine, this is a process that will take some time. But we’re starting with the biggest lines. We have already identified two trillion dollars in savings over the next decade. Hell, I can do better than that. Eliminate every cabinet department created since 1949, then take out Agriculture and most of Commerce.

In this budget, we will end education programs that don’t work and end direct payments to large agribusinesses that don’t need them. We’ll eliminate the no-bid contracts that have wasted billions in Iraq, and reform our defense budget so that we’re not paying for Cold War-era weapons systems we don’t use. Such as? Surely you're not suggesting we eliminate our strategic deterrent forces, our carrier battlegroups, strategic airlift and sealift capabilities, etc. We will root out the waste, fraud, and abuse in our Medicare program that doesn’t make our seniors any healthier, and we will restore a sense of fairness and balance to our tax code by finally ending the tax breaks for corporations that ship our jobs overseas. Anyone want to make any bets on how that works out?

In order to save our children from a future of debt, we will also end the tax breaks for the wealthiest 2% of Americans. Yeah, those folks that already pay 40% or so of our taxes are just getting SUCH a good deal now. But let me perfectly clear, because I know you’ll hear the same old claims that rolling back these tax breaks means a massive tax increase on the American people: if your family earns less than $250,000 a year, you will not see your taxes increased a single dime. I repeat: not one single dime. That's right, you won't see it, but you'll be paying it in the form of increased costs for any goods and services which use energy in their creation.In fact, the recovery plan provides a tax cut – that’s right, a tax cut – for 95% of working families. And these checks are on the way. You know what I want to say here. Just fill it in.

To preserve our long-term fiscal health, we must also address the growing costs in Medicare and Social Security. Comprehensive health care reform is the best way to strengthen Medicare for years to come. And we must also begin a conversation on how to do the same for Social Security, while creating tax-free universal savings accounts for all Americans. In other words, we're driving down the value of your 401k so we can nationalize the assets and stick you with another “savings” program trust fund that we can raid to pay our expenses. We're also going to make sure that you don't receive the Social Security and Medicare benefits we've been promising you all these years because we couldn't be trusted with the money you've been giving us, but don't worry, we'll be good this time.

Finally, because we’re also suffering from a deficit of trust, I am committed to restoring a sense of honesty and accountability to our budget. That is why this budget looks ahead ten years and accounts for spending that was left out under the old rules – and for the first time, that includes the full cost of fighting in Iraq and Afghanistan. For seven years, we have been a nation at war. No longer will we hide its price. I don't think the 4000 families who've lost loved ones in the GWOT would consider the costs hidden, you cretin.

And with our friends and allies, we will forge a new and comprehensive strategy for Afghanistan and Pakistan to defeat al Qaeda and combat extremism. Because I will not allow terrorists to plot against the American people from safe havens half a world away. Yeah, that W, he was such a softie when it came to al Qaeda. I notice you're also playing footsie with Syria and Iran. At least you're consistent, they both are closer than Pakistan.

As we meet here tonight, our men and women in uniform stand watch abroad and more are readying to deploy. To each and every one of them, and to the families who bear the quiet burden of their absence, Americans are united in sending one message: we honor your service, we are inspired by your sacrifice, and you have our unyielding support. To relieve the strain on our forces, my budget increases the number of our soldiers and Marines. And to keep our sacred trust with those who serve, we will raise their pay, (the statutory minimum 2% and not a penny more while we cut the overall defense budget 10% and grow the overall federal government 8%) and give our veterans the expanded health care and benefits that they have earned.

To overcome extremism, we must also be vigilant in upholding the values our troops defend – because there is no force in the world more powerful than the example of America. That is why I have ordered the closing of the detention center at Guantanamo Bay, and will seek swift and certain justice for captured terrorists – because living our values doesn’t make us weaker, it makes us safer and it makes us stronger. And that is why I can stand here tonight and say without exception or equivocation that the United States of America does not torture. Nor have we throughout the GWOT, but we have noticed that you'll continue the rendition procedures started under the Clinton administration so other people can do it for us.

In words and deeds, we are showing the world that a new era of engagement has begun. No, you're showing them a weak, feckless foreign policy they've been missing for eight years. For we know that America cannot meet the threats of this century alone, but the world cannot meet them without America. We cannot shun the negotiating table, nor ignore the foes or forces that could do us harm. Unless, of course, we need their money. In that case, we'll suck it up and shut up. We are instead called to move forward with the sense of confidence and candor that serious times demand.

To seek progress toward a secure and lasting peace between Israel and her neighbors, we have appointed an envoy to sustain our effort. Because I just know that I can accomplish what the God of Abraham couldn't. You can't secure a lasting peace until you've broken the will of the people. Get rid of the Team of Rivals crap and try a little Clausewitz. You're the damned Commander in Chief, try learning the job. To meet the challenges of the 21st century – from terrorism to nuclear proliferation; from pandemic disease to cyber threats to crushing poverty – we will strengthen old alliances, forge new ones, and use all elements of our national power.

And to respond to an economic crisis that is global in scope, we are working with the nations of the G-20 to restore confidence in our financial system, avoid the possibility of escalating protectionism, and spur demand for American goods in markets across the globe. For the world depends on us to have a strong economy, just as our economy depends on the strength of the world’s. Let me get this straight, you're going to make it vastly more expensive for American companies to do business in this country, or anywhere else in the world, suck up as much private sector capital as you possibly can to pay for your programs, and that's going to spur investment in our economy and make our goods more competitive. Yeah, that'll work. Oh, and you've put Biden in charge of the recovery. Nope, not a chance anything'll go wrong.

As we stand at this crossroads of history, the eyes of all people in all nations are once again upon us – watching to see what we do with this moment; waiting for us to lead.

Those of us gathered here tonight have been called to govern in extraordinary times. It is a tremendous burden, but also a great privilege – one that has been entrusted to few generations of Americans. For in our hands lies the ability to shape our world for good or for ill. Exactly why those of us who'll have to pay for what you do would prefer you to sit on them.

I know that we haven’t agreed on every issue thus far, and there are surely times in the future when we will part ways. But I also know that every American who is sitting here tonight loves this country and wants it to succeed. That must be the starting point for every debate we have in the coming months, and where we return after those debates are done. That is the foundation on which the American people expect us to build common ground. Unless we disagree with what you want to do, in which case you've told us that you won and get to do whatever you want.

And if we do – if we come together and lift this nation from the depths of this crisis; if we put our people back to work and restart the engine of our prosperity; if we confront without fear the challenges of our time and summon that enduring spirit of an America that does not quit, then someday years from now our children can tell their children that this was the time when we performed, in the words that are carved into this very chamber, "something worthy to be remembered." Thank you, God Bless you, and may God Bless the United States of America. May God give us mercy and deliver us from fools.

Wednesday, February 25, 2009

State of the Union, Part 1

Last night I promised more on the State of the Union speech. Over all, I'd have to say that I wasn't impressed. There was little that hasn't been said in other State of the Union speeches I've heard over the years, and in the final analysis, they're little more than political theater anyway. Regardless, I promised, so here we go. I've heavily excerpted from the speech below in italics and added my comments as normal text.

Madame Speaker, Mr. Vice President, Members of Congress, and the First Lady of the United States:

Nice of him to neglect the Supreme Court, Joint Chiefs of Staff, his cabinet, and of course, us. Right off the bat, he's pushing my buttons.

I know that for many Americans watching right now, the state of our economy is a concern that rises above all others. And rightly so. If you haven’t been personally affected by this recession, you probably know someone who has – a friend; a neighbor; a member of your family. You don’t need to hear another list of statistics to know that our economy is in crisis, because you live it every day. It’s the worry you wake up with and the source of sleepless nights. It’s the job you thought you’d retire from but now have lost; the business you built your dreams upon that’s now hanging by a thread; the college acceptance letter your child had to put back in the envelope. The impact of this recession is real, and it is everywhere.

Frankly, no, the recession is not my overarching concern. The dramatic and unprecedented expansion of the federal government and the administration's ongoing attempts to ram socialism down our throats without debate would be number one on my list. An adequate national defense would be a strong number two. I guess I'm old fashioned, but I really want my President to stick to his constitutionally mandated duties. I don't care who he is. I don't care which party he belongs to. I just want him or her to stick to the script the founders wrote.

Speaking of sticking to the script, I thought the President was a little off his game last night. Even with the teleprompter, he stumbled on the text several times. I certainly don't hold it against him, but it is unlike him.

But while our economy may be weakened and our confidence shaken; though we are living through difficult and uncertain times, tonight I want every American to know this:

We will rebuild, we will recover, and the United States of America will emerge stronger than before.

Of course it will. Even though his friends in Congress are largely responsible for the mess we're in, we American's are a hard bunch to keep down. Nothing the government can do will get us out of the recession. It can make things worse, certainly, but it only helps by getting out of the way. Every time government gives to one group, it has to take from another. Picking winners and losers isn't in the job description. We'll come back to this later.

The weight of this crisis will not determine the destiny of this nation. The answers to our problems don’t lie beyond our reach. They exist in our laboratories and universities; in our fields and our factories; in the imaginations of our entrepreneurs and the pride of the hardest-working people on Earth. Those qualities that have made America the greatest force of progress and prosperity in human history we still possess in ample measure. What is required now is for this country to pull together, confront boldly the challenges we face, and take responsibility for our future once more.

Notice the conspicuous absence of government from that list? Care to place any bets it stays out of the discussion? Didn't think so.

Now, if we’re honest with ourselves, we’ll admit that for too long, we have not always met these responsibilities – as a government or as a people. I say this not to lay blame or look backwards, but because it is only by understanding how we arrived at this moment that we’ll be able to lift ourselves out of this predicament.

Does anyone out there really think that he understands how we arrived here? Stand by for it to start getting deep.

The fact is, our economy did not fall into decline overnight. No, in large measure it was pushed by the people in the room he was speaking to. Nor did all of our problems begin when the housing market collapsed or the stock market sank. I'd put that particular marker somewhere in the first Roosevelt administration, others Wilson, still others the second Roosevelt, and there's probably an argument to be made for the Nixon administration as well. We have known for decades that our survival depends on finding new sources of energy. Yet we import more oil today than ever before. So, let me get this straight, he's blaming the economic collapse on our dependence on foreign oil? Give me a break, he's head of the same administration that just shut down the baby steps the Bush administration took to open up domestic production, and speaking to the group that's kept us from reducing that dependence for the last forty years. The cost of health care eats up more and more of our savings each year, yet we keep delaying reform. Maybe because the democrats in Congress keep us from instituting tort reform needed to keep malpractice rates in check, and the .gov keeps distorting the market with tax policy on health insurance premiums that haven't made sense since World War II? Our children will compete for jobs in a global economy that too many of our schools do not prepare them for. That's right, despite our spending more per student than any other government in the developed world. So, perhaps it might be due to other factors like, oh, I don't know, an urban, yes, black culture that deprecates learning as too white, or a union stranglehold on education policy that makes it almost impossible to create incentives for good teachers and rewards bad ones with tenure? And though all these challenges went unsolved, we still managed to spend more money and pile up more debt, both as individuals and through our government, than ever before.

In other words, we have lived through an era where too often, short-term gains were prized over long-term prosperity; where we failed to look beyond the next payment, the next quarter, or the next election. A surplus became an excuse to transfer wealth to the wealthy instead of an opportunity to invest in our future. And just who does he think actually invests? The government doesn't. It removes money that could be invested in the economy as taxes. Regulations were gutted for the sake of a quick profit at the expense of a healthy market. Yup, those pesky government sponsored entities at the heart of the matter were definitely lacking in oversight. Perhaps if the democrats in Congress had been paying attention to the Bush administration any of the seven times it warned of the impending problem we might have stayed afloat. Or better yet, if the government just stopped trying its hand at social engineering, we might have avoided a recession. People bought homes they knew they couldn’t afford from banks and lenders who pushed those bad loans anyway. I don't remember anyone holding a gun to my head as I was signing my mortgage. Silly me, I actually read the damn thing and understood I was signing a binding contract. Oh those bad, evil, wicked lenders. They all need a spanking. (And we know at least one of the congress-critters was getting the oral sex, but I digress.) As an aside, how much did Franklin Raines make again? And all the while, critical debates and difficult decisions were put off for some other time on some other day. I know I'm getting old, but I have a vague memory of several previous administrations trying to reform social security and being thwarted by whom? Yeah, those democrats in Congress for whom Saint Franklin could do no wrong.

Well that day of reckoning has arrived, and the time to take charge of our future is here.

Call me a cynic, but I have serious doubts that a guy with no previous executive experience and who barely got his seat warm in the Senate is going to be able to roll Nancy and Harry. I'd love to take charge of my future, but somehow, I think the government might have other plans.

Now is the time to act boldly and wisely – to not only revive this economy, but to build a new foundation for lasting prosperity. Now is the time to jumpstart job creation, re-start lending, and invest in areas like energy, health care, and education that will grow our economy, even as we make hard choices to bring our deficit down. That is what my economic agenda is designed to do, and that’s what I’d like to talk to you about tonight.

Note: this would be a good point to pause and wrap your head in duct tape.

As soon as I took office, I asked this Congress to send me a recovery plan by President’s Day that would put people back to work and put money in their pockets. Not because I believe in bigger government – I don’t. And the Pope's not Catholic either. Not because I’m not mindful of the massive debt we’ve inherited – I am. I should hope so, you've just doubled it and are heading for the record books yourself. I called for action because the failure to do so would have cost more jobs and caused more hardships. Now see Barack, if you read a little more Von Mises or Hayek, you might have a different opinion. In fact, a failure to act would have worsened our long-term deficit by assuring weak economic growth for years. Sure, doubling down on the deficit's going to make it much smaller. That makes sense. That’s why I pushed for quick action. No, you pushed for quick action because you didn't want anyone to actually have a chance to read the bill and conduct an informed debate. And tonight, I am grateful that this Congress delivered, and pleased to say that the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act is now law. Gee, thanks Congress. I guess those ten to one against calls you were getting from your constituents just couldn't get in the way of doing the bidding of The One.

Over the next two years, this plan will save or create 3.5 million jobs. Remember, he started out claiming the plan would create those 3.5 million jobs. Someone must have realized just what the actual likelihood of that was and the wording changed to the non-falsifiable “save or create” shtick. More than 90% of these jobs will be in the private sector – jobs rebuilding our roads and bridges; constructing wind turbines and solar panels; laying broadband and expanding mass transit. Thank you ever so much for those 350,000 additional public sector employees at roughly $100k/yr a pop. That's surely going to help the deficit.

Because of this plan, there are teachers who can now keep their jobs and educate our kids. Health care professionals can continue caring for our sick. There are 57 police officers who are still on the streets of Minneapolis tonight because this plan prevented the layoffs their department was about to make. I just checked my Constitution again. I couldn't find teaching kids, caring for the sick, or policing the streets anywhere among the responsibilities of the federal government. Barack, here's a hint, if the federal government took less money out of our pockets, our state and local governments might be better able to afford their responsibilities. Try reading the ninth and tenth amendments sometime. I know you're a constitutional scholar and all, but those to seem to have escaped your notice. [Here's a news flash for some of my readers, I actually think the states could be doing more. They just need to be mindful of the consequences of what they do in the marketplace. California, New York, and Massachusetts are you listening? Florida, are you listening? You've gone too much the other way, and I hated living there when I did because you didn't take care of kids.]

Because of this plan, 95% of the working households in America will receive a tax cut – a tax cut that you will see in your paychecks beginning on April 1st. Yeah, a whole ten bucks a week according to the new withholding tables. They picked the right day to launch this little nugget, didn't they?

I know there are some in this chamber and watching at home who are skeptical of whether this plan will work. I understand that skepticism. Here in Washington, we’ve all seen how quickly good intentions can turn into broken promises and wasteful spending. And with a plan of this scale comes enormous responsibility to get it right.

That is why I have asked Vice President Biden to lead a tough, unprecedented oversight effort – because nobody messes with Joe. Well, now I feel better. We've put the plagiarist gaffe-omatic in charge. What could go wrong? I have told each member of my Cabinet as well as mayors and governors across the country that they will be held accountable by me and the American people for every dollar they spend. I have appointed a proven and aggressive Inspector General to ferret out any and all cases of waste and fraud. And we have created a new website called recovery.gov so that every American can find out how and where their money is being spent. And I'm sure that it'll be every bit as complete as that list of executive orders you've posted, and there's just no way that there's any incentive to not list a wasteful project when you've told all the agency heads, mayors and governors that they'll be held accountable if there's any waste. Nope, I'm absolutely sure that the bastion of integrity heading the Treasury will make sure that everything's properly accounted for.

I want to speak plainly and candidly about this issue tonight, (that would be nice, wouldn't it?) because every American should know that it directly affects you and your family’s well-being. You should also know that the money you’ve deposited in banks across the country is safe; your insurance is secure; and you can rely on the continued operation of our financial system. That is not the source of concern. No, you're the source of my concern, but I repeat myself. Sorry.

The concern is that if we do not re-start lending in this country, our recovery will be choked off before it even begins.

You see, the flow of credit is the lifeblood of our economy. The ability to get a loan is how you finance the purchase of everything from a home to a car to a college education; how stores stock their shelves, farms buy equipment, and businesses make payroll.

But credit has stopped flowing the way it should. Too many bad loans from the housing crisis have made their way onto the books of too many banks. With so much debt and so little confidence, these banks are now fearful of lending out any more money to households, to businesses, or to each other. When there is no lending, families can’t afford to buy homes or cars. So businesses are forced to make layoffs. Our economy suffers even more, and credit dries up even further. No, you see, the credit marketplace responded exactly as it should and stopped throwing good money after bad. People stopped buying because they realized they were over extended. There's a reason why Dave Ramsey has one of the most popular shows on the radio, but I forget, you don't listen to talk radio, do you?

That is why this administration is moving swiftly and aggressively to break this destructive cycle, restore confidence, and re-start lending. Yup, you're going to take almost 900 billion dollars out of the private sector that desperately needs it to fund growth by borrowing or taxing it, filter it all through a government bureaucracy that adds no value, and give it to your friends for projects of dubious worth. That sure restores my confidence in the economic recovery.

We will do so in several ways. First, we are creating a new lending fund that represents the largest effort ever to help provide auto loans, college loans, and small business loans to the consumers and entrepreneurs who keep this economy running. Okay, let me get this straight. You're going to mitigate the consequences of the last government created credit bubble by doing more of the same? No wonder you seemed to stumble while you were giving this speech. I wouldn't have been able to do it with a straight face either.

Second, we have launched a housing plan that will help responsible families facing the threat of foreclosure lower their monthly payments and re-finance their mortgages. It’s a plan that won’t help speculators or that neighbor down the street who bought a house he could never hope to afford, but it will help millions of Americans who are struggling with declining home values – Americans who will now be able to take advantage of the lower interest rates that this plan has already helped bring about. In fact, the average family who re-finances today can save nearly $2000 per year on their mortgage. Not one word about the property rights of those investors funding those mortgages. Nope, screw those folks who invested their savings in other people's homes. I guess I wouldn't have expected a red-diaper baby like Barack to have seen It's a Wonderful Life.

Third, we will act with the full force of the federal government to ensure that the major banks that Americans depend on have enough confidence and enough money to lend even in more difficult times. And when we learn that a major bank has serious problems, we will hold accountable those responsible, force the necessary adjustments, provide the support to clean up their balance sheets, and assure the continuity of a strong, viable institution that can serve our people and our economy. That's right folks, you can count on the very same bank regulators who missed all those signs of trouble the last time to get it right this time. And just how many of them are going to be held accountable? I won't be holding my breath.

I understand that on any given day, Wall Street may be more comforted by an approach that gives banks bailouts with no strings attached, and that holds nobody accountable for their reckless decisions. But such an approach won’t solve the problem. And our goal is to quicken the day when we re-start lending to the American people and American business and end this crisis once and for all. No, actually, I suspect very strongly that Wall Street would prefer you stay the hell out of their business. Now, if you wanted to strengthen the ability of shareholders to hold corporations accountable, I might be able to find some common ground with you.

I intend to hold these banks fully accountable for the assistance they receive, and this time, they will have to clearly demonstrate how taxpayer dollars result in more lending for the American taxpayer. This time, CEOs won’t be able to use taxpayer money to pad their paychecks or buy fancy drapes or disappear on a private jet. Those days are over. Of course, you'll be spending billions of our hard earned cash building nice new buildings for DHS, sodding the National Mall, funding Speaker Pelosi's private jet, buying a new squadron of Marine One's, and taking that multi-aircraft traveling road show known as Air Force One on hundred and fifty mile jaunts to Virginia, but that's all okay, 'cause you're from the government and you just want to help.

I understand that when the last administration asked this Congress to provide assistance for struggling banks, Democrats and Republicans alike were infuriated by the mismanagement and results that followed. So were the American taxpayers. So was I. That would be the last emergency bill that had to be passed NOW or the world would end. So now we're stuck with another abomination that nobody read before they voted for, or signed it, and we're all supposed to think that everything's going to be just fine. Right.

So I know how unpopular it is to be seen as helping banks right now, especially when everyone is suffering in part from their bad decisions. I promise you – I get it. No, you don't. Everybody out here between the coasts understands that it wasn't exactly the fault of the banks, and we're scared to death that you're going to make it worse. In fact, most of us are fairly convinced that Congress can make just about anything worse without breaking a sweat.

But I also know that in a time of crisis, we cannot afford to govern out of anger, or yield to the politics of the moment. No, we can't yield to the politics of the moment. That would be why so many of us are upset with you and Congress doing exactly that. Tell me again why, given the ponderous nature of federal and state procurement processes, you couldn't take a few days to let people, hell, let Congress, read the damn stimulus bill. My job – our job – is to solve the problem. No, your job is to let US solve the problem. Our job is to govern with a sense of responsibility. Amen, now why do I doubt your ability to do that? I will not spend a single penny for the purpose of rewarding a single Wall Street executive, but I will do whatever it takes to help the small business that can’t pay its workers or the family that has saved and still can’t get a mortgage. Right. You're going to make those small businesses pay COBRA rates for employees they've had to lay off, potentially putting them out of business. You're going to try your damnedest to keep the housing bubble inflated, thus propping up home prices and keeping the existing housing stock from selling at market appropriate prices, further delaying the building of those new homes. Perhaps instead of organizing communities, you might have tried creating jobs and putting people to work instead. It might have given you a different perspective.

So I ask this Congress to join me in doing whatever proves necessary. Because we cannot consign our nation to an open-ended recession. And to ensure that a crisis of this magnitude never happens again, I ask Congress to move quickly on legislation that will finally reform our outdated regulatory system. It is time to put in place tough, new common-sense rules of the road so that our financial market rewards drive and innovation, and punishes short-cuts and abuse. It was Congress' common sense rules that got us into this mess. It was only common sense that we provide mortgages to every comer. That's the American Dream after all. It was only the Fed's common sense that mismanaged the money supply, contributing to the credit crisis. It was only your common sense solutions that have resulted in a two thousand point drop in the Dow as the market responded to your plans. And as for rewarding drive and innovation, I guess that means you'll be keeping those Bush tax cuts in place then? Didn't think so.

The recovery plan and the financial stability plan are the immediate steps we’re taking to revive our economy in the short-term. But the only way to fully restore America’s economic strength is to make the long-term investments that will lead to new jobs, new industries, and a renewed ability to compete with the rest of the world. The only way this century will be another American century is if we confront at last the price of our dependence on oil and the high cost of health care; the schools that aren’t preparing our children and the mountain of debt they stand to inherit. That is our responsibility. One wonders if the speech writing shop saw the double meaning in that last sentence. Probably not, they still think Gibbs is doing a great job.

Given these realities, everyone in this chamber – Democrats and Republicans – will have to sacrifice some worthy priorities for which there are no dollars. And that includes me. And boys and girls, that's why we've already passed everything we wanted for the next decade in the stimulus bill!

We know the country that harnesses the power of clean, renewable energy will lead the 21st century. No, it'll be the country with the cheapest, most efficient energy. That's not the same thing. Next time, hire an engineer instead of a physicisy to head the Energy department. And yet, it is China that has launched the largest effort in history to make their economy energy efficient. We invented solar technology, but we’ve fallen behind countries like Germany and Japan in producing it. New plug-in hybrids roll off our assembly lines, but they will run on batteries made in Korea.

Well I do not accept a future where the jobs and industries of tomorrow take root beyond our borders – and I know you don’t either. It is time for America to lead again. And that's why I'm proposing to reform our corporate tax rates and capital gains taxes to be the most competitive in the developed world. Oh, wait, that's just what I wanted to hear. Sorry.

Thanks to our recovery plan, we will double this nation’s supply of renewable energy in the next three years. That's right, we're going to go from what, five percent to a whopping ten, and at what cost? Oh, and we're going to wave the magic wand so the wind always blows and the sun never sets so we don't have to worry about the energy storage issues with either of these technologies. We'd never want to have to pump water into reservoirs or any of those other large scale things that might be nasty for the bugs and bunnies. We have also made the largest investment in basic research funding in American history – an investment that will spur not only new discoveries in energy, but breakthroughs in medicine, science, and technology. Color me a skeptic. We've only been hearing this crap since Nixon.

We will soon lay down thousands of miles of power lines that can carry new energy to cities and towns across this country. And we will put Americans to work making our homes and buildings more efficient so that we can save billions of dollars on our energy bills. Because we know there's just been no incentive to be efficient until now.

But to truly transform our economy, protect our security, and save our planet from the ravages of climate change, we need to ultimately make clean, renewable energy the profitable kind of energy. So I ask this Congress to send me legislation that places a market-based cap on carbon pollution and drives the production of more renewable energy in America. And to support that innovation, we will invest fifteen billion dollars a year to develop technologies like wind power and solar power; advanced biofuels, clean coal, and more fuel-efficient cars and trucks built right here in America. In other words, because you know that renewables can't compete on their own, you have to make everything else MORE EXPENSIVE. Some innovation. One more news flash for you Barack, when you make cars lighter and more fuel efficient two things happen, people drive more because individual trips are less expensive, and more people die because they're less well protected. Some estimates I've seen put the numbers at several thousand additional deaths each year just due to the standards already in place. As James Montgomery Scott, PBUH, might say, Mr. President, you canna' fight the laws of physics.

As for our auto industry, everyone recognizes that years of bad decision-making and a global recession have pushed our automakers to the brink. We should not, and will not, protect them from their own bad practices. But we are committed to the goal of a re-tooled, re-imagined auto industry that can compete and win. Millions of jobs depend on it. Scores of communities depend on it. And I believe the nation that invented the automobile cannot walk away from it. No, my fellow Americans, you've made the wrong choices buying those import cars which better met your needs. You shouldn't be supporting those non-union workers down South because they've all got confederate flags in their pickup trucks, and don't contribute dues to our campaigns. You should have been giving your money to the good democrats in Detroit that wasted the seventies, eighties and most of the nineties learning how to make a decent car that you might want.

For that same reason, we must also address the crushing cost of health care. And here is where I'm going to call it a night. We'll return here tomorrow.